Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.0% vs 44.1%). Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Cooley 45.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 64.8%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 58.0%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 50.6%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Carlsson
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Carlsson
Cooley
Last 10: Carlsson 6-4 Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
2
Carlsson
Cooley
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
3
2
Carlsson
Cooley
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
0
Carlsson
Cooley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (695)
43.5% (421)
+1.5%
Power Play
46.4% (84)
46.3% (82)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
32.9% (85)
57.1% (7)
-24.2%
On penalty kill, Cooley has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Carlsson shoots left. Cooley is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Cooley
Home
42.5% (435)
45.0% (240)
Away
45.5% (429)
43.3% (270)
By Period
Carlsson
Cooley
P1
45.3%
44.1%
P2
38.7%
48.8%
P3
48.5%
37.7%
Final 5 min
38.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |