Scouting Report
Logan Cooley holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.1% vs Cooley 42.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 70.3%
Defensive zone
Cooley 51.1%
Neutral zone
Cooley 58.3%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Carlsson
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Carlsson
Cooley
Last 10: Carlsson 6-4 Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Carlsson
Cooley
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
4
2
Carlsson
Cooley
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Cooley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (1,878)
41.7% (1,687)
-0.8%
Power Play
42.9% (156)
46.1% (228)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (121)
43.2% (44)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Cooley has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).
Carlsson shoots left. Cooley is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,234).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Cooley
Home
42.2% (1,051)
43.1% (990)
Away
39.2% (1,104)
41.3% (969)
By Period
Carlsson
Cooley
P1
43.3%
42.3%
P2
36.2%
43.8%
P3
43.3%
39.9%
OT
40.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |