Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +20.0% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Zacha 54.4% (-20.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 86.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 70.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 79.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Carlsson
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carlsson
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
53.9% (787)
-19.5%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
63.2% (193)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
44.3% (88)
-4.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Zacha
Home
38.6% (254)
56.7% (538)
Away
31.6% (307)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Carlsson
Zacha
P1
35.9%
52.6%
P2
33.8%
54.8%
P3
34.3%
56.8%
OT
44.4%
59.1%
Final 5 min
36.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
34.8%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |