Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Carlsson wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Byfield 45.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 65.8%
Defensive zone
Byfield 57.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 55.3%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Carlsson
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Carlsson
Byfield
Last 7: Carlsson 3-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Carlsson
Byfield
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
2
3
Carlsson
Byfield
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (690)
46.8% (801)
-1.9%
Power Play
47.0% (83)
50.8% (59)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
35.9% (153)
-2.6%
On power play, Byfield has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Carlsson is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Carlsson shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Byfield
Home
42.5% (428)
46.3% (462)
Away
45.5% (429)
44.6% (551)
By Period
Carlsson
Byfield
P1
45.1%
44.6%
P2
39.0%
43.4%
P3
48.5%
48.7%
OT
41.7%
37.9%
Final 5 min
38.4%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.0%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |