Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Byfield 44.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 50.4%
Defensive zone
Byfield 54.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 50.1%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Carlsson
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Carlsson
Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Byfield
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Carlsson
Byfield
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Byfield
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
44.5% (853)
-2.7%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
42.9% (21)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
38.2% (68)
+0.5%
On power play, Byfield has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Byfield is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Byfield
Home
44.5% (362)
43.8% (502)
Away
38.3% (368)
44.3% (440)
By Period
Carlsson
Byfield
P1
46.3%
44.2%
P2
35.1%
43.0%
P3
43.9%
45.0%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
41.4%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |