Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Carlsson wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Byfield 45.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 66.7%
Defensive zone
Byfield 57.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 55.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Carlsson
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Carlsson
Byfield
Last 7: Carlsson 3-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Carlsson
Byfield
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
2
3
Carlsson
Byfield
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (695)
46.8% (801)
-1.8%
Power Play
46.4% (84)
50.8% (59)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
32.9% (85)
35.9% (153)
-3.0%
On power play, Byfield has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Carlsson shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Byfield
Home
42.5% (435)
46.3% (462)
Away
45.5% (429)
44.6% (551)
By Period
Carlsson
Byfield
P1
45.3%
44.6%
P2
38.7%
43.4%
P3
48.5%
48.7%
OT
41.7%
37.9%
Final 5 min
38.4%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |