Leo Carlsson vs Ryan Donato

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Donato holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Carlsson 41.1% vs Donato 44.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor Carlsson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Donato 75.2%
Defensive zone Carlsson 51.6%
Neutral zone Donato 57.0%
Result Ryan Donato favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Carlsson Donato
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 4 (10 meetings)
6
4
Carlsson Donato
Last 10: Carlsson 6-4 Donato

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
2
Carlsson Donato
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
4
1
Carlsson Donato
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Carlsson
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (1,878)
44.0% (1,218)
-3.1%
Power Play
42.9% (156)
46.0% (248)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (121)
41.7% (12)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +7.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Donato shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).
Carlsson shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Donato
Home
42.2% (1,051)
47.2% (743)
Away
39.2% (1,104)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Carlsson
Donato
P1
43.3%
43.8%
P2
36.2%
44.9%
P3
43.3%
43.7%
OT
40.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
47.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%
39.0%
40.7%
Donato
40.0%
46.0%
44.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 7, 2025 3 14:52 Offensive Ryan Donato
Nov 30, 2025 2 13:33 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Mar 1, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Mar 1, 2025 2 14:41 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Mar 1, 2025 2 00:19 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Mar 1, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Ryan Donato
Mar 1, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Nov 19, 2024 1 17:41 Defensive Leo Carlsson
Mar 21, 2024 1 10:23 Offensive Ryan Donato
Dec 7, 2023 1 10:38 Defensive Ryan Donato