Who wins more faceoffs, Leo Carlsson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads the head-to-head 6-4 across 10 faceoffs.

What is Leo Carlsson's faceoff record against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Leo Carlsson is 4-6 against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-1, Defensive 1-2, Neutral 3-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Leo Carlsson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Leo Carlsson is the predicted winner with a 59.3% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Leo Carlsson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Leo CarlssonL vs Ryan Nugent-HopkinsL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Carlsson 41.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (-4.0%)

H2H factor Nugent-Hopkins leads 6-4 in 10 meetings

Offensive zone Carlsson 58.5%

Defensive zone Carlsson 57.5%

Neutral zone Carlsson 60.3%

Result Leo Carlsson favored at 59.3%

59.3%

40.7%

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

Head-to-Head Record

4 - 6 (10 meetings)

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

Last 10: Carlsson 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Nugent-Hopkins

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

1 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Nugent-Hopkins

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

3 total

Neutral Zone

Even

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Carlsson

Nugent-Hopkins

Edge

Even Strength

40.9% (1,878)

44.8% (8,775)

-3.9%

Power Play

42.9% (156)

50.6% (844)

-7.7%

Penalty Kill

34.7% (121)

37.8% (880)

-3.1%

On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +7.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).

Carlsson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).

Home / Away

Carlsson

Nugent-Hopkins

Home

42.2% (1,051)

46.5% (5,361)

Away

39.2% (1,104)

42.8% (5,150)

By Period

Carlsson

Nugent-Hopkins

43.3%

45.1%

36.2%

43.9%

43.3%

45.2%

40.7%

43.2%

Final 5 min

39.8%

43.6%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Carlsson

32.0%▼

39.0%

40.7%

Nugent-Hopkins

42.0%▼

48.5%

44.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Apr 7, 2025	3	15:02	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Apr 7, 2025	3	00:00	Neutral	Leo Carlsson
Apr 7, 2025	2	00:00	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Apr 7, 2025	1	00:00	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Mar 4, 2025	2	18:04	Offensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Mar 4, 2025	1	06:00	Defensive	Leo Carlsson
Jan 3, 2025	3	09:03	Neutral	Leo Carlsson
Dec 29, 2024	2	06:32	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 29, 2024	1	08:03	Neutral	Leo Carlsson
Dec 29, 2024	1	01:22	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Carlsson's Profile | Nugent-Hopkins's Profile