Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Bennett 48.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 79.3%
Defensive zone
Bennett 60.7%
Neutral zone
Bennett 61.3%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Carlsson
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carlsson
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (695)
46.4% (811)
-1.4%
Power Play
46.4% (84)
56.9% (153)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
32.9% (85)
47.8% (46)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Carlsson shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Bennett
Home
42.5% (435)
49.9% (553)
Away
45.5% (429)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Carlsson
Bennett
P1
45.3%
47.4%
P2
38.7%
46.8%
P3
48.5%
48.9%
OT
41.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
38.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |