Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.4% vs Bennett 47.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 60.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 58.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 53.1%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Carlsson
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Carlsson
Bennett
Last 10: Carlsson 6-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Carlsson
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Carlsson
Bennett
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Carlsson
Bennett
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (1,716)
46.8% (5,533)
-5.7%
Power Play
42.8% (152)
52.4% (523)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (116)
41.7% (247)
-6.4%
On power play, Bennett has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Carlsson is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Carlsson shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,107).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Bennett
Home
42.9% (956)
48.1% (3,175)
Away
39.1% (1,028)
46.0% (3,128)
By Period
Carlsson
Bennett
P1
44.2%
47.8%
P2
35.8%
46.3%
P3
43.5%
46.9%
OT
41.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
40.9%
Bennett
50.0%▲
43.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |