Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Pinto 51.1% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 84.0%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 54.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 73.7%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Carlsson
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Carlsson
Pinto
Last 10: Carlsson 3-7 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Carlsson
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Carlsson
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Carlsson
Pinto
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (695)
50.5% (556)
-5.5%
Power Play
46.4% (84)
68.0% (25)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
32.9% (85)
51.1% (94)
-18.2%
On power play, Pinto has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Carlsson is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Carlsson shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Pinto
Home
42.5% (435)
50.0% (310)
Away
45.5% (429)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Carlsson
Pinto
P1
45.3%
51.8%
P2
38.7%
49.8%
P3
48.5%
53.1%
OT
41.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
38.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |