Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.1% vs Pinto 50.4% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 66.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 63.2%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 53.7%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Carlsson
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Carlsson
Pinto
Last 10: Carlsson 3-7 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Carlsson
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
4
3
Carlsson
Pinto
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (1,878)
50.7% (2,752)
-9.8%
Power Play
42.9% (156)
54.4% (90)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (121)
45.6% (239)
-10.9%
On power play, Pinto has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Carlsson is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Carlsson shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Pinto
Home
42.2% (1,051)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
39.2% (1,104)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Carlsson
Pinto
P1
43.3%
48.4%
P2
36.2%
51.9%
P3
43.3%
50.9%
OT
40.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
39.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |