Leon Draisaitl vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs McCarron 52.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 91.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 83.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 62.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Draisaitl
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Draisaitl
McCarron
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
1
Draisaitl
McCarron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
4
Draisaitl
McCarron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Draisaitl
McCarron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
52.8% (697)
+3.1%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
18.2% (11)
+43.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
52.6% (211)
-2.6%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
McCarron
Home
55.1% (508)
52.8% (477)
Away
58.5% (595)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Draisaitl
McCarron
P1
55.8%
56.2%
P2
55.7%
52.4%
P3
59.0%
48.7%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |