Leon Draisaitl vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 52.7%). Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs McCarron 52.6% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 77.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 82.8%
Neutral zone
McCarron 55.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Draisaitl
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Draisaitl
McCarron
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
8
2
Draisaitl
McCarron
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
11
Draisaitl
McCarron
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
4
Draisaitl
McCarron
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
53.3% (2,926)
-0.4%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
45.3% (86)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
50.1% (469)
+1.1%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
McCarron
Home
54.6% (7,049)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Draisaitl
McCarron
P1
52.7%
53.8%
P2
53.6%
52.3%
P3
53.4%
51.9%
OT
57.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |