Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Monahan 52.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 82.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 65.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Draisaitl
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Draisaitl
Monahan
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Draisaitl
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Draisaitl
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
53.0% (874)
+2.9%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
54.7% (161)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
47.5% (101)
+2.5%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Monahan
Home
55.1% (508)
53.8% (558)
Away
58.5% (595)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Draisaitl
Monahan
P1
55.8%
49.5%
P2
55.7%
54.8%
P3
59.0%
52.8%
OT
60.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |