Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.5% vs Monahan 53.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 52.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 75.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 64.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Draisaitl
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Draisaitl
Monahan
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Draisaitl
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Draisaitl
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (672)
53.8% (664)
+0.5%
Power Play
62.9% (186)
53.3% (137)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
50.0% (62)
+4.3%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Monahan is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Monahan
Home
54.4% (454)
54.8% (405)
Away
57.9% (439)
52.2% (458)
By Period
Draisaitl
Monahan
P1
55.2%
49.6%
P2
54.8%
53.9%
P3
57.9%
55.2%
OT
60.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.1%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |