Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (53% H2H, 68 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Monahan 51.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 87-87 in 174 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 54.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 54.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Draisaitl
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
87
-
87
(174 meetings)
87
87
Draisaitl
Monahan
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
36
32
Draisaitl
Monahan
68 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
28
31
Draisaitl
Monahan
59 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
23
24
Draisaitl
Monahan
47 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
51.1% (11,407)
+1.8%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
53.6% (2,582)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
45.9% (772)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Monahan
Home
54.6% (7,049)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Draisaitl
Monahan
P1
52.7%
51.0%
P2
53.6%
51.7%
P3
53.4%
51.0%
OT
57.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:02 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 10:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |