Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Thompson 43.8% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 68.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 58.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 56.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Draisaitl
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Draisaitl
Thompson
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Draisaitl
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Draisaitl
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
43.3% (735)
+9.1%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
50.0% (26)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
36.5% (52)
+24.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Thompson
Home
54.5% (778)
44.5% (407)
Away
55.3% (692)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Draisaitl
Thompson
P1
54.6%
44.4%
P2
56.1%
44.8%
P3
53.3%
40.2%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.7%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
54.9%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |