Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Thompson 45.2% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 60.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 60.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Draisaitl
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Draisaitl
Thompson
Last 8: Draisaitl 4-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Draisaitl
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
44.6% (661)
+11.3%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
48.4% (95)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
33.3% (33)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Thompson
Home
55.1% (508)
45.7% (411)
Away
58.5% (595)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Draisaitl
Thompson
P1
55.8%
47.7%
P2
55.7%
45.7%
P3
59.0%
40.5%
OT
60.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |