Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.0% vs 44.1%). Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Cooley 45.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 65.3%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 57.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 51.2%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Carlsson
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Carlsson
Cooley
Last 10: Carlsson 6-4 Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
2
Carlsson
Cooley
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
3
2
Carlsson
Cooley
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
0
Carlsson
Cooley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (690)
43.5% (421)
+1.4%
Power Play
47.0% (83)
46.3% (82)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
57.1% (7)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Cooley has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Carlsson is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Carlsson shoots left. Cooley is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Cooley
Home
42.5% (428)
45.0% (240)
Away
45.5% (429)
43.3% (270)
By Period
Carlsson
Cooley
P1
45.1%
44.1%
P2
39.0%
48.8%
P3
48.5%
37.7%
Final 5 min
38.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.0%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |