Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cooley wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.1% vs Dowd 48.6% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 81.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 93.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 64.5%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Cooley
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cooley
Dowd
Last 8: Cooley 5-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
3
0
Cooley
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Cooley
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (421)
51.0% (671)
-7.5%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
0.0% (2)
+46.3%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
41.5% (224)
+15.6%
On power play, Cooley has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cooley is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Cooley shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Cooley
Dowd
Home
45.0% (240)
48.2% (471)
Away
43.3% (270)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Cooley
Dowd
P1
44.1%
48.3%
P2
48.8%
46.8%
P3
37.7%
51.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |