Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Cooley wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 84.4%
Defensive zone
Cooley 61.8%
Neutral zone
Cooley 65.7%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Cooley
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Cooley
Dowd
Last 10: Cooley 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
4
1
Cooley
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Cooley
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
6
Cooley
Dowd
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,687)
52.3% (6,036)
-10.6%
Power Play
46.1% (228)
56.1% (164)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
44.1% (1,638)
-0.9%
On even strength, Dowd has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cooley is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (725).
Cooley shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Cooley
Dowd
Home
43.1% (990)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
41.3% (969)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Cooley
Dowd
P1
42.3%
51.5%
P2
43.8%
50.4%
P3
39.9%
50.3%
OT
100.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
39.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
42.2%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |