Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.1% vs Foligno 49.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 74.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 77.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 52.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Cooley
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cooley
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Cooley
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (421)
49.5% (291)
-6.0%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
55.8% (43)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
47.2% (53)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Cooley has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cooley is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Cooley shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Cooley
Foligno
Home
45.0% (240)
48.9% (178)
Away
43.3% (270)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Cooley
Foligno
P1
44.1%
43.0%
P2
48.8%
55.9%
P3
37.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |