Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cooley wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.0% vs Foligno 48.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 76.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 87.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 79.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Cooley
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Cooley
Foligno
Last 7: Cooley 6-1 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
3
1
Cooley
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
3
0
Cooley
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (1,520)
48.3% (2,764)
-7.2%
Power Play
44.7% (208)
52.3% (723)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
43.4% (447)
-1.5%
On power play, Foligno has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cooley is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,116).
Cooley shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,467).
Home / Away
Cooley
Foligno
Home
41.9% (883)
49.8% (1,993)
Away
41.1% (888)
47.1% (1,943)
By Period
Cooley
Foligno
P1
41.3%
47.9%
P2
43.1%
50.0%
P3
39.5%
48.4%
OT
100.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
37.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
46.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |