Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.1% vs Lafferty 50.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 73.2%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 54.6%
Neutral zone
Cooley 57.3%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Cooley
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cooley
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Cooley
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (421)
50.0% (46)
-6.5%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Cooley is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Cooley shoots left. Lafferty is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Cooley
Lafferty
Home
45.0% (240)
47.8% (23)
Away
43.3% (270)
52.2% (23)
By Period
Cooley
Lafferty
P1
44.1%
53.3%
P2
48.8%
55.6%
P3
37.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |