Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cooley wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.6% vs Lafferty 47.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Lafferty leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 87.6%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 62.7%
Neutral zone
Cooley 66.7%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Cooley
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Cooley
Lafferty
Last 10: Cooley 4-6 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
3
0
Cooley
Lafferty
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
4
Cooley
Lafferty
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
4
Cooley
Lafferty
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,687)
47.9% (1,417)
-6.2%
Power Play
46.1% (228)
45.7% (46)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
43.5% (184)
-0.3%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Cooley is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (725).
Cooley shoots left. Lafferty is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Cooley
Lafferty
Home
43.1% (990)
47.3% (833)
Away
41.3% (969)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Cooley
Lafferty
P1
42.3%
49.4%
P2
43.8%
43.1%
P3
39.9%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
42.2%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:49 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:31 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |