Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Couture 40.7% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 97.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 76.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 93.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Ryan
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Ryan
Couture
Last 7: Ryan 6-1 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
0
Ryan
Couture
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
39.9% (690)
+15.0%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
44.4% (9)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
33.3% (54)
+8.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Ryan is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Ryan shoots right. Couture is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Ryan
Couture
Home
57.7% (355)
41.3% (368)
Away
52.8% (352)
37.7% (385)
By Period
Ryan
Couture
P1
57.9%
40.1%
P2
53.2%
38.4%
P3
54.8%
40.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |