Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stankoven wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stankoven 44.6% vs Roy 51.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stankoven 94.5%
Defensive zone
Stankoven 62.1%
Neutral zone
Stankoven 76.4%
Result
Logan Stankoven favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Stankoven
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Stankoven
Roy
Last 5: Stankoven 0-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Stankoven
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Stankoven
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stankoven
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (727)
51.9% (547)
-7.7%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
54.1% (37)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
53.3% (92)
-3.3%
On power play, Roy has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Stankoven is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Stankoven shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Stankoven
Roy
Home
44.4% (423)
54.0% (328)
Away
43.5% (398)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Stankoven
Roy
P1
43.1%
53.5%
P2
43.9%
51.6%
P3
45.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
39.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stankoven
42.0%▬
42.5%
44.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |