Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stankoven wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stankoven 45.0% vs Roy 48.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stankoven 88.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 53.3%
Neutral zone
Stankoven 68.4%
Result
Logan Stankoven favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Stankoven
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Stankoven
Roy
Last 5: Stankoven 0-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Stankoven
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Stankoven
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stankoven
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (916)
48.7% (3,719)
-4.2%
Power Play
44.4% (108)
49.5% (283)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
45.5% (477)
-2.6%
On power play, Roy has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Stankoven is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Stankoven shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Stankoven
Roy
Home
44.9% (555)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
44.1% (476)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Stankoven
Roy
P1
44.6%
50.8%
P2
43.0%
46.3%
P3
46.4%
48.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stankoven
42.0%▬
42.5%
44.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |