Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.4% vs 44.1%). Look for Reichel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Reichel wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 45.6% vs Geekie 44.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 60.3%
Defensive zone
Geekie 54.5%
Neutral zone
Reichel 52.0%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Reichel
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Reichel
Geekie
Last 5: Reichel 4-1 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Reichel
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
4
0
Reichel
Geekie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (170)
43.7% (584)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
47.1% (68)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
50.0% (8)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Reichel is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Reichel shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Reichel
Geekie
Home
45.7% (81)
45.3% (329)
Away
41.9% (117)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Reichel
Geekie
P1
48.4%
41.2%
P2
34.3%
45.0%
P3
46.9%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
43.4%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |