Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Reichel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Reichel wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 41.6% vs Geekie 48.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 88.4%
Defensive zone
Geekie 80.5%
Neutral zone
Geekie 81.4%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Reichel
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Reichel
Geekie
Last 6: Reichel 5-1 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Reichel
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
5
0
Reichel
Geekie
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (668)
48.7% (2,289)
-8.6%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
45.9% (183)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
45.7% (129)
-45.7%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Reichel is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Reichel shoots left. Geekie is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,909).
Home / Away
Reichel
Geekie
Home
41.2% (410)
50.0% (1,277)
Away
39.4% (320)
46.8% (1,324)
By Period
Reichel
Geekie
P1
41.9%
48.4%
P2
36.3%
48.9%
P3
42.8%
47.5%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
36.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |