Luke Glendening vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Glendening wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.9% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 78.6%
Defensive zone
Glendening 85.4%
Neutral zone
Glendening 55.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Glendening
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Glendening
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
0
Glendening
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (420)
49.7% (1,038)
+3.9%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
63.7% (157)
+36.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (148)
34.4% (32)
+12.9%
On power play, Glendening has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Glendening is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Glendening shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Glendening
MacKinnon
Home
48.0% (256)
53.1% (618)
Away
55.7% (316)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Glendening
MacKinnon
P1
50.9%
49.3%
P2
51.7%
53.0%
P3
53.3%
50.7%
OT
83.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |