Luke Glendening vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Glendening wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.6% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 28-26 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 80.0%
Defensive zone
Glendening 79.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Glendening
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
28
(54 meetings)
26
28
Glendening
MacKinnon
Last 10: Glendening 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
11
Glendening
MacKinnon
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
9
4
Glendening
MacKinnon
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
13
13
Glendening
MacKinnon
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (7,786)
46.1% (11,264)
+11.8%
Power Play
56.4% (195)
53.2% (1,421)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (2,505)
42.8% (502)
+5.8%
On even strength, Glendening has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Glendening is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,221).
Glendening shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
Home / Away
Glendening
MacKinnon
Home
55.4% (5,270)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
55.9% (5,216)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Glendening
MacKinnon
P1
56.1%
47.4%
P2
54.5%
46.6%
P3
56.5%
46.1%
OT
48.9%
48.4%
Final 5 min
54.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
55.6%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2022 | OT | 02:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2022 | OT | 02:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |