Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 50.3% vs McCarron 52.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 67.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 76.1%
Neutral zone
McCarron 52.6%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Kunin
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kunin
McCarron
Last 5: Kunin 3-2 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kunin
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (305)
52.8% (697)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
18.2% (11)
+37.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
52.6% (211)
-8.7%
On power play, Kunin has a +37.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Kunin is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Kunin shoots right. McCarron is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Kunin
McCarron
Home
50.0% (178)
52.8% (477)
Away
50.8% (193)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Kunin
McCarron
P1
53.0%
56.2%
P2
53.8%
52.4%
P3
44.1%
48.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |