Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Kunin wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs McCarron 52.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 77.5%
Defensive zone
Kunin 55.1%
Neutral zone
Kunin 61.0%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Kunin
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Kunin
McCarron
Last 10: Kunin 4-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
3
2
Kunin
McCarron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
Kunin
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
5
Kunin
McCarron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,667)
53.3% (2,926)
-6.3%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
45.3% (86)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (335)
50.1% (469)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Kunin is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (604).
Kunin shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
Kunin
McCarron
Home
45.4% (1,075)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
46.4% (1,066)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Kunin
McCarron
P1
47.7%
53.8%
P2
45.7%
52.3%
P3
44.1%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:54 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |