Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 50.3% vs Kelly 41.4% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 56.6%
Defensive zone
Kunin 73.9%
Neutral zone
Kunin 63.2%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Kunin
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kunin
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Kelly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (305)
36.5% (159)
+15.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
0.0% (1)
+55.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
38.5% (13)
+5.4%
On power play, Kunin has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Kunin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Kunin shoots right. Kelly is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Kunin
Kelly
Home
50.0% (178)
35.4% (79)
Away
50.8% (193)
37.2% (94)
By Period
Kunin
Kelly
P1
53.0%
33.8%
P2
53.8%
36.5%
P3
44.1%
39.6%
Final 5 min
52.4%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |