Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 50.3% vs Gourde 46.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 61.0%
Defensive zone
Kunin 54.8%
Neutral zone
Kunin 54.0%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Kunin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kunin
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (305)
47.2% (687)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
45.0% (20)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
33.0% (88)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Kunin has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kunin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Kunin shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Kunin
Gourde
Home
50.0% (178)
44.4% (356)
Away
50.8% (193)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Kunin
Gourde
P1
53.0%
42.2%
P2
53.8%
50.0%
P3
44.1%
44.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |