Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Kunin wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Gourde 48.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 68.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 58.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 69.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Kunin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
7
(21 meetings)
14
7
Kunin
Gourde
Last 10: Kunin 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kunin
Gourde
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
7
2
Kunin
Gourde
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
4
2
Kunin
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,667)
48.4% (4,987)
-1.4%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
57.4% (376)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (335)
40.0% (555)
+0.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kunin is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,537).
Kunin shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,950).
Home / Away
Kunin
Gourde
Home
45.4% (1,075)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
46.4% (1,066)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Kunin
Gourde
P1
47.7%
49.8%
P2
45.7%
47.5%
P3
44.1%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:11 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |