Macklin Celebrini vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 49.4% vs Barzal 41.4% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Celebrini
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Celebrini
Barzal
Last 5: Celebrini 4-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
0
Celebrini
Barzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Celebrini
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (717)
40.4% (456)
+7.9%
Power Play
54.9% (91)
34.2% (38)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
28.6% (7)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Celebrini is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Celebrini shoots left. Barzal is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Barzal
Home
47.3% (412)
38.0% (242)
Away
51.3% (417)
41.3% (259)
By Period
Celebrini
Barzal
P1
45.6%
46.6%
P2
50.9%
35.4%
P3
51.4%
38.0%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |