Macklin Celebrini vs Mathew Barzal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Celebrini wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.5% vs Barzal 42.2% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 81.0%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 77.2%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 81.4%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Celebrini
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Celebrini
Barzal
Last 5: Celebrini 4-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
0
Celebrini
Barzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Celebrini
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (1,894)
41.9% (3,571)
+5.6%
Power Play
54.4% (250)
43.4% (205)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
42.3% (26)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Celebrini is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (694).
Celebrini shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Barzal
Home
48.0% (1,091)
43.2% (1,901)
Away
48.9% (1,089)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Celebrini
Barzal
P1
47.4%
40.6%
P2
46.6%
44.6%
P3
51.4%
41.1%
OT
47.4%
27.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |