Macklin Celebrini vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 65.1%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 63.3%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 64.8%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
0
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (993)
46.0% (250)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.1% (111)
70.6% (17)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
31.8% (22)
+24.2%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Celebrini shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.5% (538)
50.3% (175)
Away
48.7% (591)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.1%
48.5%
P2
46.8%
45.9%
P3
51.0%
46.5%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |