Macklin Celebrini vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 79.1%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 63.0%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 71.1%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
6
(23 meetings)
17
6
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Celebrini 9-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
5
0
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
6
1
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
6
5
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (1,894)
44.8% (8,775)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.4% (250)
50.6% (844)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
37.8% (880)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Celebrini is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,486).
Celebrini shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.0% (1,091)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
48.9% (1,089)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.4%
45.1%
P2
46.6%
43.9%
P3
51.4%
45.2%
OT
47.4%
43.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |