Marat Khusnutdinov vs Matt Duchene
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Khusnutdinov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khusnutdinov 44.8% vs Duchene 52.1% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.3%
Defensive zone
Khusnutdinov 69.2%
Neutral zone
Khusnutdinov 56.7%
Result
Marat Khusnutdinov favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
Last 5: Khusnutdinov 2-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Khusnutdinov
1
0
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Khusnutdinov
1
0
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (368)
53.0% (723)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (65)
43.8% (16)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Khusnutdinov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Khusnutdinov shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
Home
44.4% (180)
54.9% (408)
Away
43.1% (253)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
P1
50.7%
52.5%
P2
44.4%
51.7%
P3
37.0%
53.6%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khusnutdinov
44.0%▲
40.0%
43.6%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Marat Khusnutdinov |