Marat Khusnutdinov vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Khusnutdinov wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khusnutdinov 45.5% vs Duchene 54.1% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 60.0%
Defensive zone
Khusnutdinov 71.0%
Neutral zone
Khusnutdinov 56.5%
Result
Marat Khusnutdinov favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
Last 5: Khusnutdinov 2-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Khusnutdinov
1
0
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Khusnutdinov
1
0
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (565)
53.9% (10,438)
-8.2%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
57.0% (1,677)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (70)
49.1% (468)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Khusnutdinov is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Khusnutdinov shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Home / Away
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
Home
45.1% (264)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
44.6% (383)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Khusnutdinov
Duchene
P1
48.6%
54.4%
P2
47.2%
54.5%
P3
38.9%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khusnutdinov
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.8%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Marat Khusnutdinov |