Scouting Report
Marat Khusnutdinov holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Khusnutdinov wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khusnutdinov 48.3% vs Cates 45.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 55.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 60.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 52.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Khusnutdinov
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (103)
45.5% (756)
-1.8%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
42.1% (114)
+37.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
44.7% (47)
+55.3%
On penalty kill, Khusnutdinov has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Khusnutdinov is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Khusnutdinov shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Home
47.6% (42)
46.2% (468)
Away
46.4% (69)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Khusnutdinov
Cates
P1
47.7%
46.0%
P2
57.1%
47.5%
P3
34.4%
42.1%
Final 5 min
37.9%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khusnutdinov
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.8%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Noah Cates |