Marat Khusnutdinov vs Noah Cates
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Marat Khusnutdinov holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Khusnutdinov wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khusnutdinov 45.5% vs Cates 43.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 59.9%
Defensive zone
Cates 55.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 58.2%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Last 8: Khusnutdinov 2-6 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
2
Khusnutdinov
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
2
4
Khusnutdinov
Cates
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (565)
44.1% (2,786)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
42.9% (254)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (70)
34.9% (373)
+2.2%
On power play, Khusnutdinov has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Khusnutdinov is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Khusnutdinov shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Khusnutdinov
Cates
Home
45.1% (264)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
44.6% (383)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Khusnutdinov
Cates
P1
48.6%
44.5%
P2
47.2%
43.7%
P3
38.9%
41.2%
OT
0.0%
29.4%
Final 5 min
44.9%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khusnutdinov
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.8%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Marat Khusnutdinov |