Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 50.0% vs Kelly 41.4% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 75.1%
Defensive zone
Kasper 75.0%
Neutral zone
Kasper 62.1%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Kasper
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kasper
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (366)
36.5% (159)
+14.9%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
38.5% (13)
-6.9%
On power play, Kasper has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Kasper is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Kasper shoots left. Kelly is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Kasper
Kelly
Home
51.5% (194)
35.4% (79)
Away
48.5% (200)
37.2% (94)
By Period
Kasper
Kelly
P1
54.1%
33.8%
P2
52.1%
36.5%
P3
43.4%
39.6%
Final 5 min
42.5%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |