Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 50.0% vs Bennett 48.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 66.9%
Defensive zone
Bennett 53.3%
Neutral zone
Bennett 60.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Kasper
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kasper
Bennett
Last 7: Kasper 2-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Kasper
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Kasper
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (366)
46.4% (811)
+5.0%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
56.9% (153)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
47.8% (46)
-16.2%
On power play, Bennett has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Kasper is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Kasper shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Kasper
Bennett
Home
51.5% (194)
49.9% (553)
Away
48.5% (200)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Kasper
Bennett
P1
54.1%
47.4%
P2
52.1%
46.8%
P3
43.4%
48.9%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |