Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 47.2%). Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs Bennett 47.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 57.7%
Defensive zone
Kasper 63.7%
Neutral zone
Kasper 52.2%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Kasper
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kasper
Bennett
Last 7: Kasper 2-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Kasper
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Kasper
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
46.8% (5,714)
+0.4%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
53.6% (558)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
41.8% (256)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Kasper is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Kasper shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Kasper
Bennett
Home
49.4% (474)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
44.2% (554)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Kasper
Bennett
P1
48.0%
48.0%
P2
51.0%
46.5%
P3
40.2%
46.8%
OT
66.7%
54.8%
Final 5 min
40.7%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |