Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 50.0% vs Thompson 45.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 52.1%
Defensive zone
Kasper 51.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Kasper
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kasper
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Kasper
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Kasper
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (366)
44.6% (661)
+6.8%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
48.4% (95)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
33.3% (33)
-1.7%
On power play, Thompson has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kasper is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Kasper shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Kasper
Thompson
Home
51.5% (194)
45.7% (411)
Away
48.5% (200)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Kasper
Thompson
P1
54.1%
47.7%
P2
52.1%
45.7%
P3
43.4%
40.5%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
42.5%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |